Huge Turnout by Democrats in the Primary — Way More than the Republicans

[fusion_builder_container hundred_percent=”no” hundred_percent_height=”no” hundred_percent_height_scroll=”no” hundred_percent_height_center_content=”yes” equal_height_columns=”no” menu_anchor=”” hide_on_mobile=”small-visibility,medium-visibility,large-visibility” status=”published” publish_date=”” class=”” id=”” link_color=”” link_hover_color=”” border_size=”” border_color=”” border_style=”solid” margin_top=”” margin_bottom=”” padding_top=”” padding_right=”” padding_bottom=”” padding_left=”” gradient_start_color=”” gradient_end_color=”” gradient_start_position=”0″ gradient_end_position=”100″ gradient_type=”linear” radial_direction=”center center” linear_angle=”180″ background_color=”” background_image=”” background_position=”center center” background_repeat=”no-repeat” fade=”no” background_parallax=”none” enable_mobile=”no” parallax_speed=”0.3″ background_blend_mode=”none” video_mp4=”” video_webm=”” video_ogv=”” video_url=”” video_aspect_ratio=”16:9″ video_loop=”yes” video_mute=”yes” video_preview_image=”” filter_hue=”0″ filter_saturation=”100″ filter_brightness=”100″ filter_contrast=”100″ filter_invert=”0″ filter_sepia=”0″ filter_opacity=”100″ filter_blur=”0″ filter_hue_hover=”0″ filter_saturation_hover=”100″ filter_brightness_hover=”100″ filter_contrast_hover=”100″ filter_invert_hover=”0″ filter_sepia_hover=”0″ filter_opacity_hover=”100″ filter_blur_hover=”0″][fusion_builder_row][fusion_builder_column type=”1_1″ layout=”1_1″ spacing=”” center_content=”no” link=”” target=”_self” min_height=”” hide_on_mobile=”small-visibility,medium-visibility,large-visibility” class=”” id=”” hover_type=”none” border_size=”0″ border_color=”” border_style=”solid” border_position=”all” border_radius=”” box_shadow=”no” dimension_box_shadow=”” box_shadow_blur=”0″ box_shadow_spread=”0″ box_shadow_color=”” box_shadow_style=”” padding_top=”” padding_right=”” padding_bottom=”” padding_left=”” margin_top=”” margin_bottom=”” background_type=”single” gradient_start_color=”” gradient_end_color=”” gradient_start_position=”0″ gradient_end_position=”100″ gradient_type=”linear” radial_direction=”center center” linear_angle=”180″ background_color=”” background_image=”” background_image_id=”” background_position=”left top” background_repeat=”no-repeat” background_blend_mode=”none” animation_type=”” animation_direction=”left” animation_speed=”0.3″ animation_offset=”” filter_type=”regular” filter_hue=”0″ filter_saturation=”100″ filter_brightness=”100″ filter_contrast=”100″ filter_invert=”0″ filter_sepia=”0″ filter_opacity=”100″ filter_blur=”0″ filter_hue_hover=”0″ filter_saturation_hover=”100″ filter_brightness_hover=”100″ filter_contrast_hover=”100″ filter_invert_hover=”0″ filter_sepia_hover=”0″ filter_opacity_hover=”100″ filter_blur_hover=”0″ last=”no”][fusion_text columns=”” column_min_width=”” column_spacing=”” rule_style=”default” rule_size=”” rule_color=”” hide_on_mobile=”small-visibility,medium-visibility,large-visibility” class=”” id=”” animation_type=”” animation_direction=”left” animation_speed=”0.3″ animation_offset=””]

LD9 had a 64% Democratic turnout.  (That is probably some sort of record).  We know that voting in the primary is not everybody’s cup of tea, so the fact that so many people did vote, is a very good sign for voter engagement!

At the same time, Republican turnout was 58% in LD9.

The LD9 precincts with the highest Democratic turnout were Precincts 61 and 106 with a whopping 81%!  Not far behind were precincts 171, 187, 230 and 239 with 79% turnout.   Precincts that need our help are 58, 31, 32, 38 with turnout in the low 50%.

Turnout for “Independents” was 9%.  We know that voter engagement for Independents is always significantly lower than Democratic or Republican engagement.  LD9 precincts with the most “engaged” Independents were Precincts 239, 171, 226 and 56 with turnouts of 18%, 16%, 14% and 14%, respectively.  It all goes downhill from there…

The computers in the LD9 Data Center are cranking out more info and will report with Pima County summaries as well as reporting on the, intriguing,  under-vote phenomena.  Stay tuned for our next installment.  If you can’t wait for that installment, you can find the unofficial county results on the Pima County Elections department website – Pima Primary https://webcms.pima.gov/government/elections_department/.

Q:  How many people voted in Pima County?

A:   248,137 people voted in Pima County.  The overwhelming majority of all ballots cast were sent by mail.

Q:  How many people voted in Pima County?

A:   248,137 people voted in Pima County.  The overwhelming majority of all ballots cast were sent by mail

 

Summary Statistics -2020  Pima County Primary Election
  Total % of Registered Voted Early % of Voted Voted at Polls % of Voted Prov. Ballots
Ballots Cast – TOTAL     248,137 42%   226,552 91%    18,818 8%      2,767
Ballots Cast – DEMOCRATIC PARTY     147,649 64%   140,946 95%      5,460 4%      1,243
Ballots Cast – REPUBLICAN PARTY       98,859 58%     84,192 85%    13,185 13%      1,482

 

 

Q:  How many people are registered to vote in Pima County?

A:   584,070 people in Pima County were registered to vote by the deadline for the 2020 Primary.

Pima County Registered Voters (at time of 2020 Primary)
Registered Voters – Democratic Party                                   230,325
Registered Voters – Republican Party                                   171,331
Registered Voters – Libertarian Party                                       4,243
Registered Voters – Green Party                                       8,576
Registered Voters – Nonpartisan                                   169,595
Registered Voters – TOTAL                                   584,070

Q:  How does the turnout compare to the 2016 turnout?

A:   In 2016, 87,871 ballots were cast in the Democratic Primary.  In 2020, 147,649 ballots cast in the Democratic Primary.  That is a 68% increase in the number of Democratic ballots cast.

Q:  How many people did not vote for everything on their ballot (i.e. did not vote up and down the ballot / undervote)?

A:   A lot of people did not vote for everything they could have voted for. When a person does not make the maximum number of selections possible for that contest or makes no selection for a single choice contest, that is called an “undervote.”  This can be intentional or unintentional.  Sometimes, voters do not realize they can vote for more than one candidate for a particular office.  Other times, voters feel they do not have enough information to make a choice between candidates.  Both of these situations can and do result in one candidate losing to another candidate.   Here are some examples of undervoting on the 2020 Pima County Democratic primary ballot.

(In November, these undervotes will make a difference as to whether a Democrat or a Republican wins.  Not only does EVERY VOTE COUNT, EVERY RACE COUNTS! )  

Pima County 2020 Democratic Primary – U.S. Senate
        # of Voters # of Votes # of Undervotes
Mark Kelly 147,649 144,306 3,343
no opponent    

 

Pima County 2020 Democratic Primary – Arizona Corporation Commission
  # of Voters # of Votes # of Undervotes
Anna Tovar 147,649 118,074 29,575
Bill Mundell 147,649 93,333 54,316
Shea Stanfield 147,649 91,690 55,959
Pima County 2020 Democratic Primary – Pima County Treasurer
  # of Voters # of Votes # of Undervotes
Brian Bickel 147,649 130,884 16,765
no opponent    
Pima County 2020 Democratic Primary (LD9 only) – Board of Supervisors District 1
  # of Voters # of Votes # of Undervotes
Brian Radford 37,127 10,469
Rex Scott 37,127 21,178
 Total 37,127 31,647 5,480

 

2020 Democratic Primary (Precinct 99 only) – Pima County Board of Supervisors District 4
  # of Voters # of Votes # of Undervotes
Steve Diamond 880 776 104
no opponent    

 Q:  What was the turnout in Pima County broken down by Legislative District?

A:   The turnout by Legislative District (LD) is shown below. Note that parts of LD 2, 4, 11 and 14 are in more than one county.  These numbers represent registration and turnout in Pima County only.

Pima County – 2020 Primary – Turnout by LD
Leg District Turnout by Party Total Turnout Total Registered
Democrats Republicans
2 18,555 13,391 32,126                      82,640
3 27,516 7,656 35,362                    100,699
4 3,603             1,228 4,854                      15,505
9 38,289 22,196 60,767                    132,062
10 35,001 23,504 58,780                    130,977
11 19,325 22,632 42,554                      88,932
14 4,026 5,255 14,116                      34,069
         

Q:  Where did you get this info?

A:   Pima County election results information is available to the pubic via the Pima County Elections Department website:  https://webcms.pima.gov/government/elections_department/.  Pima County finalized their counting and submitted their report to the Secretary of State at the end of last week.   If you are interested in statewide election results, please visit the Secretary of State’s website:  https://azsos.gov/

Q:  Does LD9 have any plans to address voter turnout and undervoting in November?

A:   Yes, you bet!  We have a plan. It will include smart targets, great materials, and great people.   In our first phase, we will be concentrating on increasing votes for all Democrats on the November ballot by targeting new voters, young voters and Democratic-leaning independents,   The second phase will be focused on ballot chasing.  Stay tuned for more info…

Stay calm, stay safe and let us know if we can provide you with any other data or voter lists.

[/fusion_text][/fusion_builder_column][/fusion_builder_row][/fusion_builder_container]